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Outlook: The gradual and localised transition to electric
Publié le 05/01/2024
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The sales of electric vehicles are becoming significant in certain countries, with growing acceptance from drivers. But this supposedly disruptive race to electrification is unfolding at varying speeds and levels of integration across different regions of the world. The result is expected to be that most cars on the road in 2030 will be ICE powered. These trends are outlined by Roland Berger and BCG.
Countries with 65% of annual new vehicle sales are now at or beyong the tipping point
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Plug-in vehicles, which include battery electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (BEV and PHEV), accounted for 13% of the global production of light vehicles in 2022: a 5% increase on the previous year, while the production of ICE vehicles dropped by 5%. Worldwide, the sales of plug-in vehicles increased by 3.5 million units to reach 10 million in 2022, with a target of 14 million for 2023. (source : Boston Consulting Group – 2023 Study)
View of the EV market to 2030
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The consultants at BCG propose two EV market scenarios to 2030, depending on whether or not production (and prices) are affected by materials shortages (lithium, nickel) which are essential for batteries. Regardless of
Increase in adoption of electric vehicles, 2020-2022 (Roland Berger Automotive Disruption Radar online survey 2022)
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Retrouvez la version en Français : Prospective : L’électrification des parcs mondiaux en progression douce et géolocalisée
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